The Numbers Project

The EIDL Crisis: By the Numbers

Public SBA data combined with first-person reports from borrowers. This dashboard is evidence — updated as submissions come in.

What the SBA Reports

Official program data from SBA, SBA Office of Inspector General, and Congressional Research Service.

3.9M
Loans Approved
$378B
Total Disbursed
$97K
Average Loan
37%
Projected Default
1.3M
In Default Now
$71B
Charged Off
<1%
Recovery Rate
96%
PPP Forgiven
0%
EIDL Forgiven

Charge-Offs by Fiscal Year

Source: SBA OIG Report 25-23. Projections based on 37% default rate.

PPP vs. EIDL: Two Programs, Two Outcomes

Source: SBA, NPR analysis of SBA data (Jan 2023).

Default Rate by Industry

Source: SBA OIG, Federal News Network.

Borrower Debt Burden

Source: Federal Reserve Small Business Credit Survey (2024).

Program Timeline

Mar 2020 — CARES Act, EIDL loans begin
May 2022 — Program closes. $378B disbursed.
Late 2022 — Deferments begin expiring
FY 2023 — $52B charged off in one year
Feb 2024 — Hardship program launched
Mar 2025 — Hardship program ends. 300K exposed.
2025-27 — Projected: 1.3M more defaults
2050 — Last 30-year loans mature

Where the Crisis Hits Hardest

EIDL Loans by State (Top 10)

Source: SBA EIDL data, Congressional Research Service (IN11379). Data as of program close May 2022.

Who Actually Got These Loans

90%
Went to Businesses with 10 or Fewer Employees
67%
Of EIDL Borrowers Have Over $100K in Debt
28%
Of Non-EIDL Businesses Have Over $100K in Debt
50%
Of EIDL Borrowers Denied Additional Credit

The Federal Reserve found that small businesses with outstanding EIDL balances are in significantly worse financial shape than businesses without EIDL debt. They carry more than double the debt burden, are more likely to be denied credit, and are less likely to be profitable. These aren't businesses that were failing before COVID. These are businesses the government shut down and then charged for the privilege of surviving.

Source: Federal Reserve Banks Small Business Credit Survey, August 2024.

What Congress Has Done About It

0
EIDL Forgiveness Bills Passed
0
Offers in Compromise Approved
0
Replacement for Hardship Program
$200
Max Fine for Congress Insider Trading

Congressional Research Service has documented four policy options under discussion: reduced interest rates, deferments without accrued interest, grant assistance, and loan forgiveness. None have been enacted. The SBA's Offer in Compromise program technically exists but has approved zero settlements for COVID EIDL loans. The Hardship Accommodation Plan ended March 19, 2025 with no replacement. Meanwhile, members of Congress traded $5.3 billion in stocks while earning $174,000 — with a $200 fine for late disclosure.

Source: CRS R47509, SBA official guidance, The Numbers Project congressional trading investigation.

What Borrowers Are Telling Us

Live data — updated as submissions come in
12
Stories Submitted
$287K
Avg Loan Amount
56
Avg Age
83%
Can't Sell Without Losing Everything
67%
Struggling or in Default

In Their Own Words

"I'm 62. I'll be paying this until I'm 87. My retirement plan at this point is to die."
"We were profitable before COVID and we're profitable now. But we can't ever leave. The loan follows you everywhere."
"My payment went from $89 a month to $740 when the hardship program ended. Nobody warned me."
"I signed the personal guarantee in the middle of a pandemic. I didn't know I was signing away my house."
"They forgave Kanye's $2.4 million PPP loan. I've been paying my $180K EIDL for five years with no end in sight."
"I can't pass this business to my daughter without passing the personal guarantee. I built this for her. Now it's a trap for both of us."

Quotes are from anonymous submissions. Details verified where possible. More stories added as they're received.

Your Story Is Evidence

Every submission strengthens the case for policy change. We're building the most comprehensive picture of the EIDL crisis that exists — and we need your numbers to do it. Anonymous. Two minutes. It matters.

Share Your Story →

What Would Actually Fix This

What's Been Proposed

• Reduced interest rates on existing loans
• Deferment periods without interest accrual
• Partial grant assistance to offset balances
• Targeted forgiveness for smallest borrowers
• Reinstating the Hardship Accommodation Plan
Source: CRS R47509 policy options analysis.

What's Actually Happened

• No forgiveness legislation passed
• Hardship program ended with no replacement
• Offer in Compromise: zero approvals for EIDL
• Treasury collections accelerating
• New legislation focuses on fraud prosecution, not borrower relief
Roger Williams (R-TX) introduced fraud whistleblower bill, Feb 2026.

This dashboard is a living document.

As more borrowers submit their stories, the data here grows stronger. As the data grows stronger, the case for action becomes harder to ignore. Every number on this page represents a real person, a real business, and a real family affected by a program that was supposed to help.

Read the full investigation →
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